Monsoon Forecast and Low Pressure System

Monsoon Forecast and Weather Conditions in India

• Weather System: A low-pressure system has formed over the Bay of Bengal, expected to enhance the monsoon, bringing widespread rainfall to western and central India within the next 4 to 5 days.

• Movement: The low-pressure system is projected to move across northern Odisha and northern Chhattisgarh over the next 3 days.

• Current Rainfall:

  • Kerala, Karnataka, and Maharashtra have experienced consistent heavy rainfall over the last 2-3 days, leading to flooding in low-lying areas.
  • Specific rainfall data includes:
    • Ghats of Madhya Maharashtra and Konkan: Over 200mm of rain reported on a single day.
    • Parts of Saurashtra: Recorded 570mm of rain within 24 hours, resulting in submersion of the area.

• Additional Weather Features:

  • An off-shore trough exists between south Gujarat and Karnataka, contributing to favorable monsoon conditions along the western coast.
  • The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) noted that the monsoonal trough is active and situated south of its normal position, indicating a robust monsoon season.

Implications:

• The heavy rains may affect agricultural activities, infrastructure, and flood management in the impacted regions.
• Monitoring of rainfall patterns is crucial for disaster preparedness and response strategies, aligning with constitutional obligations under the Directive Principles of State Policy (DPSP) to promote the welfare of the people.

Conclusion: The current weather conditions indicate a significant impact on the monsoon season in India, with potential implications for agriculture, flood management, and infrastructure stability.