Upcoming Dry and Hot February Forecast

Weather Forecast - February 2026 Overview

• Temperature Trend: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts above-normal minimum and maximum temperatures across most parts of India during February 2026, marking the exit of winter.

• Temperature Specifics:

  • Expected above-normal nighttime temperatures due to intermittent cloud cover.
  • Cold wave conditions anticipated to last 2-3 days shorter than usual.

• Rabi Crop Impact:

  • Wheat and Barley: Early maturity anticipated due to warmer conditions, potentially leading to reduced yields.
  • Oilseeds and Pulses: Crops such as chickpeas, lentils, and field peas may mature early, negatively affecting seed size and overall yield.
  • Vegetable Yield Concerns: Key crops like onions and potatoes could face heat stress, leading to decreased market value due to lower yields.

• Livestock Affected: Increased temperatures may lead to heat stress in livestock, potentially decreasing milk production.

• Rainfall Data:

  • January 2026 saw all-India rainfall 31% below normal.
  • Northwest India experienced a dry January, only recovering slightly at the end of the month with some rainfall and snowfall.

• Expected Weather Phenomena: Fewer intense western disturbances are predicted for February, which may affect overall precipitation levels.

This data indicates an urgent need for adaptive agricultural strategies and livestock management practices to mitigate the impacts of rising temperatures on crop yields and livestock production.